Output, Financial Markets and Growth

Inequity Aversion, Financial Markets and Output Fluctuations

Drawing on recent advances in the study of reference dependent utility we model financial markets as a coordination game with multiple equilibria. Asset valuations may change endogenously through re-coordination which induces fluctuations in output. These fluctuations are shown to be quantitatively relevant and inefficient. JEL-Classification: G12 Acknowledgements: I am grateful to Roger Farmer...

Balance, Growth and Diversity of Financial Markets

A financial market comprising of a certain number of distinct companies is considered, and the following statement is proved: either a specific agent will surely beat the whole market unconditionally in the long run, or (and this “or” is not exclusive) all the capital of the market will accumulate in one company. Thus, absence of any “free unbounded lunches relative to the total capital” opport...

Capital Flows, Output Volatility, and Financial Crises in Emerging Markets

The surge in capital flows towards emerging market countries is one of the major developments in the world economy in the 1990s. In particular, short-term flows, in the form of portfolio investments or bank loans, have grown at an extremely rapid pace. At the same time, emerging markets have experienced an increasing number of financial crises, with dire consequences. It is increasingly argued ...

Measuring Money Growth When Financial Markets

Dynamic Correlation between Oil Markets and Financial Markets and Oil and Petrochemical Industries in Iran

In this paper we study the effect of volatility in Brent oil prices on the important indices of financial markets in Iran, as well as the return on gold, from 2008 to 2018 using the Multivariate Exponential GARCH Model (MVEGARCH). We also use the ADCC-FIGARCH model to examine the asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation between Brent oil prices and financial markets in Iran. The results of th...